Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-22 0.150877 0.179055 0.210676 0.248736 0.293252 0.343620 0.404881
2025-06-29 0.106505 0.141663 0.185457 0.243802 0.319271 0.413346 0.539246
2025-07-06 0.081797 0.118650 0.168320 0.239724 0.339235 0.472421 0.663507
2025-07-13 0.069636 0.108452 0.164244 0.249544 0.375768 0.554567 0.825653
2025-07-20 0.062705 0.103835 0.166310 0.266989 0.423749 0.656686 1.026592
2025-07-27 0.055917 0.097910 0.164971 0.278292 0.462972 0.749363 1.223250
2025-08-03 0.048216 0.088996 0.157263 0.277866 0.482954 0.813834 1.382537
2025-08-10 0.040355 0.078363 0.144935 0.267643 0.484918 0.848838 1.497135
2025-08-17 0.033456 0.068224 0.131823 0.253911 0.478569 0.868454 1.586907
2025-08-24 0.029722 0.063371 0.127399 0.254906 0.497809 0.932994 1.759544
2025-08-31 0.025513 0.056862 0.118889 0.246976 0.499443 0.966098 1.878998
2025-09-07 0.023186 0.053816 0.116623 0.250670 0.523171 1.041253 2.082085
2025-09-14 0.020567 0.049903 0.112442 0.250789 0.541594 1.111538 2.289805
2025-09-21 0.017909 0.045462 0.106564 0.246718 0.551403 1.167035 2.476711
2025-09-28 0.015649 0.041513 0.101111 0.242692 0.560633 1.222141 2.668535
2025-10-05 0.014654 0.040439 0.101928 0.252639 0.600976 1.344765 3.010922
2025-10-12 0.014222 0.040705 0.105884 0.270290 0.660438 1.513449 3.466857
2025-10-19 0.013438 0.039905 0.107149 0.281725 0.707092 1.659335 3.888401
2025-10-26 0.012109 0.037376 0.103741 0.281294 0.725954 1.746057 4.188810
2025-11-02 0.010483 0.033687 0.096787 0.270952 0.719690 1.775483 4.363480
2025-11-09 0.008927 0.029889 0.088920 0.257059 0.702806 1.778422 4.477282
2025-11-16 0.008148 0.028286 0.086779 0.258065 0.723670 1.872355 4.813929
2025-11-23 0.007139 0.025754 0.081619 0.250042 0.720050 1.906766 5.011113